Life is a little easier if you expect a certain chunk of it to go wrong no matter how hard you try.
Smart people screw up. Good people have bad days. Nice people lose their temper.
It’s impossible to think about risk and opportunity without a reference point. And ours is at most incomplete (if not totally wrong).
Everything we think about risk and opportunity is shap...
Long-term thinking is difficult to put in action because the long run is a collection of short runs that have to be handled, displayed, and used as information to gauge whether a long-term reward s...
A fair evaluation of how uncertain the future is would make most people refuse to get out of bed every morning. Nothing would get done in the world if people were only driven by the accurate probab...
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