102 STASHED IDEAS
The main hypothesis of the Fermi Paradox, debated by many Scientists, states that we are the only advanced civilization in our galaxy, because if aliens exist, they would have found our planet by now.
The four arguments against this hypothesis of us being alone in the universe are:
Self-distancing may be beneficial to help in the reflection process.
The common probability distributions are:
As often heard, the simplest explanations tend to be the most likely, and the more difficult it is for us to imagine an outcome, the less likely it is. Any new information then tends to be processed by the prior judgements and speculations, making our justifications solidify in our minds.
Example: When a couple breaks up, the small problems or quarrels noticed earlier seems to indicate that the breakup was obvious and expected. The same problems were not highlighted by the brain if the couple was together.
Confirmation bias is a common tendency to self-promote and validate our own beliefs. Most controversial issues have people who are for or against the given topic, and tend to look at points that support their existing belief patterns.
Daniel Kahneman, a Nobel prize winning psychologist states that though we can be provided with tools to be aware of the cognitive errors and biases in humans, we are still unable to fix our own.
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