Learn more about technologyandthefuture with this collection
Understanding the basics of blockchain technology
The benefits and challenges of using blockchain
The future of blockchain technology
Principles to help us predict the future
- Patience. Things take time to develop naturally.
- Observe, don’t interpret. If people can manage to observe without interpreting and filtering what they see, they can get a clearer picture of the future.
- Don’t graft today’s solutions onto tomorrow’s problems. Current inventions solve current problems. Future problems will take new solutions.
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MORE IDEAS ON THIS
The Blockchain Will Enable All Kinds of Evil
Crypto enthusiasts will have to come to terms with the fact that the blockchain can and will enable as much evil as it does good.
Nothing is all good or evil. Everything exists on a continuum. You can kill someone with a gun, but you can also feed your family by hunting. Wa...
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Government Cryptocurrencies will Flourish
Government cryptos will be a very, very bitter pill to swallow for current true believers in the crypto space, but they better get used to them. They will outlaw physical cash, and they will do it under the guise of one of three excuses:
- Stopping money laundering
- Stopping terro...
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The Bubble Bursts
People in and out of crypto see them as a bubble that will pop, causing prices to crash badly. They're right, but it is just the beginning of the story. After the pop, real working ideas will emerge.
Crypto, blockchain and triple entry accounting are probably the most important invention of...
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Crypto Will Get a LOT Easier to Use
Today’s user experience in crypto is awful. Mistype something or copy and paste wrong, and your money disappears forever. If there’s a software glitch or someone hacks my computer or phone, my money is gone forever.
We’ll need algorithmic approximations of the controls we have now for givin...
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Blockchain is Just the Beginning of Decentralized Consensus
- Blockchain is only the first successful implementation of decentralized consensus mechanisms. There are many others like IOTA's Tangle and HashGraph and many more to follow.
- It's also strongly possible that none of these systems will be designed by humans
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Decentralized Cryptocurrencies Will Become a Parallel Economic Operating System for the Planet
Just because centralized cryptos rise to prominence doesn’t mean the decentralized cryptos will go away. Many governments will try, but they’ll fail to stamp them out.
The reasons are simple: The same factors that make it hard to form consensus across a blockchain, make it hard for...
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The Gig Economy Will Grow Big Time
People from the World War II generation had one or two jobs their whole life. Today we have five or six. Tomorrow’s people will have five or six at the same time.
Half of those income streams will be automated and passive, likely some kind of crypto UBI. We will also se...
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Four Dominant Meta Coins + 100 Minor Coins, and State Coins
At the moment, we're making coins for everything. But you don't really need a coin.
Coins will start to shake out into various meta categories:
- Deflationary Saver Coin - for hoarding and investing.
- Inflationary Spender Coin - mirroring the dollar.
- Action Token - f...
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Prediction is a tricky business
Chaos theory tells us it's impossible to predict the future. We can't see the black swan events or unexpected technology, but we can do a Monte Carlo analysis and see the major pathways.
Reasons people get the future so wrong:
- They dedicate about five minutes to looking a...
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48 reads
We’ll Learn We Didn’t Know Anything About Economics
All of our economic theories are based on studies conducted with limited data in the analogue age of ink and wood pulp. All current economic theory will prove about as advanced as cave paintings as we experiment with new economic systems.
New coins are micro-economi...
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Bitcoin Has a 50/50 Chance At Surviving
Bitcoin has a first-mover advantage. It's the first of its kind and dominates the global market share. However, it also suffers from significant flaws that could kill it.
It's the Model T of the blockchain revolution.
- It has no built-in governance. To change it, a proposal shoul...
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18 reads
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