The Dunning-Kruger Effect is the tendency for people to misjudge their abilities. People with less than average abilities tend to overestimate their true abilities, while those with higher than average abilities tend to not realize how much better they are. That is, some people are too stupid to know how stupid they are, while smart people assume most can do what they can.
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In learning any new domain, our confidence is actually highest when we start. Dunning and Kruger found that when we don’t know what we don’t know, we overestimate our abilities.
As philosopher Bertrand Russell famously put it: “The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure ...
They often underestimate their abilities and skills. They may excel in certain areas, but they'll dismiss their achievements as luck or timing rather than acknowledging their own capabilities.
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