Why #3: Promote Your Thinking Process.

Most people assume that good decision making is choosing a course of action that leads to the desired outcome.

In reality, decision making is about how you end up with your decision, not what the decision leads to.

To avoid the trap of overestimating our own skill, we need to start thinking probabilistically. That means estimating the odds and adapting your decision-making accordingly.

Even if the decision had a good outcome, we still need to objectively analyse the quality of the de...

Most of us imagine that we engage in some form of long-term thinking; after all, we have goals and plans. And basically we are in denial about this because it is hard to have perspective about our own decision-making process. The best way to overcome this is to recognize the clear signs of short ...