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Incentives and Decision-Making:
Decisions are often driven by incentives, even when statistically flawed. Acknowledging this bias is crucial in analyzing one's own justifications and actions.
Illusion of Certainty:
The illusion of certainty persists until proven wrong, blurring the line between right and wrong beliefs.
Another McRaney quote fits well here:
“Until we know we are wrong, being wrong feels exactly like being right.”
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MORE IDEAS ON THIS
Here's why respecting others' delusions can be beneficial for you:
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The problem with emotion and passion is they tend to be black or white, with no room for the nuance required to understand most topics. You get a false sense of confidence, and one that’s disguised as absolute truth.
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“When the truth is uncertain, our brains resolve uncertainty without our knowledge by creating the most likely reality they can imagine based on our prior experiences.”
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When there’s an absence of perfect information, emotion, passion, and tribal identity fill the void.
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Nothing is as persuasive as what you’ve experienced firsthand.
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Learn enough from history to bear reality patiently, and respect one another’s delusions.
– The lessons of history
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Your willingness to believe something is influenced by how much you want and need it to be true.
Perception of Belief:
Individual beliefs are influenced by personal circumstanc...
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