Restricted Choice
The Monty Hall Problem is based on an old TV Game Show.
You choose one door. The host gets the other two. One door has a prize, the other two have nothing.
The host has a 100% chance of getting 1 door with no prize.
He has a 66% chance of getting 1 door with a prize
He has a 33% chance of getting 2 doors with no prize
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You have a 33% chance of getting a prize with your initial selection
You have a 66% chance of getting no prize with your initial selection
2
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Interest in Programming, Data Science and Investments. Love discussing economics and behavioral psychology.
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Switch!
Because the host has played his no prize door...restricted choice principle states that the likelihood that his other door has no prize is now decreased.
Remember the intial probabilities have not changed. The doors weren't reshuffled.
You still picked a door with a 66% chance of it ...
A mental trick!
After he reveals to you that one of his door has no prize...he offers to switch your door for his.
Should you?
Our initial assumption is that now there are two doors.
You have a 50% chance...he has a 50% chance...
Right?
WRONG!
When working with restricted choi...
Introduction:
As architecture evolves and interior design continues to push boundaries, one element that has seamlessly integrated innovation with style is the humble door. Once mere functional components, doors have become focal points of aesthetic exploration and creativity....
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