The Uncertain Future - Deepstash
The Psychology of Money

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The Psychology of Money

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The Uncertain Future

The Uncertain Future

Long-term planning is harder than it seems because people’s goals and desires change over time.

We’re such poor forecasters of our future selves that there’s a term for this phenomenon: The End of History Illusion. We’re aware of how much we’ve changed in the past, but we grossly underestimate how much our personalities, desires, and goal will change in the future.

You can’t prepare for what you can’t envision.

3.84K

6.68K reads

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Mistakes & Errors

Mistakes & Errors

History is an unassailable guide to the future. A trap many investors fall the “historians as prophets” fallacy: an over-reliance on past data as a signal to future conditions in a field where innovation and change are the lifeblood of progress. Past performance is not indicative...

3.74K

7.15K reads

The Compounding Of Money

The Compounding Of Money

Our minds are not built to handle the reality that compounding leads to logic-defying results.

Warren Buffett’s fortune isn’t due to just being a good investor. Rather it’s due to being a good investor since he was a child. Simplifying we can say he then just waited.

3.89K

15.8K reads

Nothing Is Free

Nothing Is Free

Everything has a price, but not all prices appear on labels.

The price of investing success is not immediately obvious. It’s not a price tag you can see, so when the bill comes due, it doesn’t feel like a fee for getting something good. It feels like a fee for doing somethi...

3.74K

6.28K reads

Tails, You Win

Tails, You Win

You can be wrong half the time and still make a fortune.

Anything that is huge, profitable, famous, or influential is the result of a tail event, an outlying one-in-thousands or millions event.

  • Most of our attention goes to things that are huge, profitable, famou...

3.79K

10.8K reads

No One’s Crazy

No One’s Crazy

Everyone looks at money through the lens of their past experiences.

You can read what it was like to lose everything during, say, The Great Recession, but you will never bear the emotional scars of those who survived it and are now afraid to invest again. It’s impo...

3.89K

16.7K reads

True Wealth Is What You Don’t See

True Wealth Is What You Don’t See

Spending money to show people how much money you have is the fastest way to have less money.

We tend to judge wealth by what we see because that’s the information we have in front of us. But the truth is that wealth is what you don’t see. Rich is a current income. Nice cars...

3.98K

8.66K reads

Save Money

Save Money

Building wealth has little to do with your income or investment returns and more to do with your savings rate. The value of wealth is relative to what you need. A high savings rate means having lower expenses than you otherwise could, and having lower expenses means your savings ...

3.91K

8.01K reads

Nothing is Ever Enough

Nothing is Ever Enough

Rich people do crazy things. Bernie Madoff had everything only to lose everything because he had no sense of enough. The lesson? There is no need to risk what you have and need for what you don’t have and don’t need.

  • The hardest financial skill is getting the ...

4.34K

19.5K reads

Man in the Car Paradox

Man in the Car Paradox

No one is impressed with your possessions as much as you are.

People tend to want wealth to signal to others that they want to be liked and admired. But in reality, those other people often bypass admiring you, not because they don’t think wealth is admirable, but because t...

3.96K

9.08K reads

BILL GATES

Success is a lousy teacher, it seduces smart people into thinking they can’t lose.

BILL GATES

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26.8K reads

Getting Wealthy vs. Staying Wealthy

Getting Wealthy vs. Staying Wealthy

Good investing is not about making good decisions. It’s about consistently not screwing up. There are a million ways to get wealthy. The only way to stay wealthy is some combination of frugality and paranoia.

  • Money success in a single word: survival. The ability to sti...

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13.5K reads

The Seduction of Pessimism

The Seduction of Pessimism

Optimism sounds like a sales pitch. Pessimism sounds like someone trying to help you.

In finance, pessimism is paid more attention than optimism and is, therefore, more persuasive. “It’s easier to create a narrative around pessimism because the story pieces tend to be f...

3.75K

5.97K reads

Believing In Narratives

Believing In Narratives

Stories trump statistics. The more you want something to be true, the more likely you are going to believe a story that overestimates the odds of it being true.

  • The more you want something to be true, the more likely you are to believe a story that overestimates the od...

3.77K

6.04K reads

True Wealth Is Freedom

True Wealth Is Freedom

Controlling your time is the highest dividend money pays. The highest form of wealth is the ability to wake up every morning and say, “I can do whatever I want, when I want, with who I want, for as long as I want.” This is the highest dividend money pays:

  • The ...

4.21K

9.79K reads

Money = Behaviour

Money = Behaviour

Doing well with money is not necessarily about what you know, but about how you behave. Is what Morgan Housel explores in his popular book, where he shares 19 stories that explore the behavioral aspects of personal finance.

To Note:

  • Financial success is n...

4.63K

35.2K reads

Luck & Risk

Luck & Risk

Nothing is as good or as bad as it seems. Every outcome in life is guided by forces other than individual effort. Bill Gates had a competitive advantage over millions of other students because he attended one of the only high schools in the world that had the cash and foresig...

4.13K

22.2K reads

Reasonable > Rational

Reasonable > Rational

Aiming to be mostly reasonable works better than trying to be coldly rational.

“Do not aim to be coldly rational when making financial decisions. Aim to just be pretty reasonable. Reasonable is more realistic, and you have a better chance of sticking with it for the lon...

3.86K

8.64K reads

You & Me

You & Me

Avoid taking financial cues from people playing a different game than you are.

Few things matter more with money than understanding your own time horizon and not being persuaded by the actions & behaviors of people playing different games than you are. Go out of your way to...

3.72K

6.24K reads

Leave Room for Error

Leave Room for Error

The most important part of every plan is planning on your plan, not going according to plan.

Have room for error when estimating your future returns. For his own investments, Housel assumes the future returns he’ll earn in his lifetime will be ⅓ lower than the historic aver...

3.76K

6.77K reads

CURATED FROM

CURATED BY

pipge

Total food specialist. Friendly webaholic. Coffee fan. Proud analyst. Tv expert. Explorer. Travel nerd. Incurable beer advocate.

The Psychology of Money is a collection of short stories exploring the strange ways people think about money and teaches you how to make better sense of it.

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The end-of-history illusion

The end-of-history illusion

The end-of-history illusion is when we underestimate how much our personalities, work situations and values will change in the future.

The end-of-history illusion was coined in 2013. It is based on a series of studies showing that people tend to think that they will change...

End Of History Illusion

The tendency for people to be keenly aware of how much they've changed in the past, but to underestimate how much their personalities, desires, and goals are likely to change in the future.

The Problem with Imagination

We have very little idea about just what situations we will find ourselves in. Our imagination is also influenced by films and Tv. 

When we make these grand decisions, we use imagination three times- we imagine what we imagine to be our future selves in imagined alternative scenarios. 

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