• Contrarianism isn’t an approach that will make you money all of the time. Much of the time there aren’t great market excesses to bet against.
• Even when an excess does develop, it’s important to remember that “overpriced” is incredibly diff erent from “going down tomorrow.”
• Markets can be over- or underpriced and stay that way— or become more so— for years.
• It can be extremely painful when the trend is going against you.
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