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Recessions are part of the fabric of a dynamic economy. The average investor fears recessions because they mean lower home prices, lower stock prices, and less or no work.
Several things can cause, or worsen, a recession — soaring interest rates, or ill-conceived legislation. If you understand recessions, you will have many opportunities to look forward to when the recession ends.
137
822 reads
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The recession of 1873 was known as the Great Depression until the 1929 recession started.
The recession of 1873 started with the failure of Jay Cooke & Company, a major bank. It caused knock-on effects of bank failures across the country and the collapse of a bubble in railroad stocks. The...
130
430 reads
Since 1857, a recession occurred about every three-and-a-quarter years. The government used to think recessions should work themselves out.
Since WWII, the average between recessions is nearly five years. The last economic expansion, starting at the end of the Great Recession, lasted 128 m...
125
438 reads
Historically, the best time to buy stocks is when the NBER announces the start of a recession.
The NBER takes at least six months to determine if a recession has started. The average post-WWII recession lasts 11.1 months. By the time the bureau announces a recession, it is nearly over. Oft...
153
519 reads
The best thing to do with your money during a recession is to pay off your credit card debt.
Paying off a credit card that charges 18% interest is equivalent to getting an 18% return on investment. You may not get that from most other investments during a recession.
139
477 reads
An inverted yield curve is a more solid predictor of economic downturns than the stock market, consumer confidence, or leading economic indicators index.
An inverted yield curve is when short-term government securities, such as the three-month Treasury bill, yield more than a 10-year Treas...
144
449 reads
The Federal Reserve does not want to start a recession because part of its dual mandate is to keep the economy healthy. But, the Fed's dual mandate also includes keeping inflation low. A cure for rising inflation is higher interest rates, which slows the economy.
For example, in 1981, ...
129
446 reads
Recessions are really "depressions," but the term "depression" seems too terrifying. After the Great Depression, economists began to use the word "recession" instead.
The 2007-09 recession involved a financial crisis, high unemployment, and falling prices, and was named the Great Reces...
129
656 reads
A standard measurement for a recession is two-quarters of consecutive GDP contraction. But the official arbiter of recessions and recoveries, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), prefers domestic production and employment...
131
525 reads
Losing your primary source of income is the worst effect since jobs are increasingly hard to find in a recession.
That is why it's essential to have a few months' salary in cash as an emergency fund.
137
453 reads
The average length of recessions is 17.5 months. The long-term average covers the 1873 recession that lasted 65 months. It also includes the Great Depression, which lasted 43 months.
Since WWII, recessions have become less harsh, lasting an average of 11.1 months. In part, it is b...
137
486 reads
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