Early warning signs of a recession - Deepstash
Harnessing Blockchain Technology

Learn more about moneyandinvestments with this collection

Understanding the basics of blockchain technology

The benefits and challenges of using blockchain

The future of blockchain technology

Harnessing Blockchain Technology

Discover 57 similar ideas in

It takes just

8 mins to read

Early warning signs of a recession

An inverted yield curve is a more solid predictor of economic downturns than the stock market, consumer confidence, or leading economic indicators index.

An inverted yield curve is when short-term government securities, such as the three-month Treasury bill, yield more than a 10-year Treasury bond. It shows that bond traders expect weaker growth in the future.

145

481 reads

MORE IDEAS ON THIS

Understanding recessions are vital

Understanding recessions are vital

Recessions are part of the fabric of a dynamic economy. The average investor fears recessions because they mean lower home prices, lower stock prices, and less or no work.

Several things can cause, or worsen, a recession — soaring interest rates, or ill-conceived legislation. If you unders...

138

889 reads

Recurrence of recessions

Since 1857, a recession occurred about every three-and-a-quarter years. The government used to think recessions should work themselves out.

Since WWII, the average between recessions is nearly five years. The last economic expansion, starting at the end of the Great Recession, lasted 128 m...

126

471 reads

The harshest recession

The recession of 1873 was known as the Great Depression until the 1929 recession started.

The recession of 1873 started with the failure of Jay Cooke & Company, a major bank. It caused knock-on effects of bank failures across the country and the collapse of a bubble in railroad stocks. The...

131

460 reads

An official recession

A standard measurement for a recession is two-quarters of consecutive GDP contraction. But the official arbiter of recessions and recoveries, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), prefers domestic production and employment...

132

569 reads

The best time to buy stocks

Historically, the best time to buy stocks is when the NBER announces the start of a recession.

The NBER takes at least six months to determine if a recession has started. The average post-WWII recession lasts 11.1 months. By the time the bureau announces a recession, it is nearly over. Oft...

154

551 reads

Spending your money

The best thing to do with your money during a recession is to pay off your credit card debt.

Paying off a credit card that charges 18% interest is equivalent to getting an 18% return on investment. You may not get that from most other investments during a recession.

140

509 reads

The Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve does not want to start a recession because part of its dual mandate is to keep the economy healthy. But, the Fed's dual mandate also includes keeping inflation low. A cure for rising inflation is higher interest rates, which slows the economy.

For example, in 1981, ...

130

475 reads

The worst effect of a recession

Losing your primary source of income is the worst effect since jobs are increasingly hard to find in a recession.

That is why it's essential to have a few months' salary in cash as an emergency fund.

139

486 reads

Time-frame of a typical recession

The average length of recessions is 17.5 months. The long-term average covers the 1873 recession that lasted 65 months. It also includes the Great Depression, which lasted 43 months.

Since WWII, recessions have become less harsh, lasting an average of 11.1 months. In part, it is b...

138

523 reads

Naming a recession

Recessions are really "depressions," but the term "depression" seems too terrifying. After the Great Depression, economists began to use the word "recession" instead.

The 2007-09 recession involved a financial crisis, high unemployment, and falling prices, and was named the Great Reces...

130

705 reads

CURATED FROM

CURATED BY

aniyah_uj

"Money doesn't buy class." ~ Kiana Tom

Read & Learn

20x Faster

without
deepstash

with
deepstash

with

deepstash

Access to 200,000+ ideas

Access to the mobile app

Unlimited idea saving & library

Unlimited history

Unlimited listening to ideas

Downloading & offline access

Personalized recommendations

Supercharge your mind with one idea per day

Enter your email and spend 1 minute every day to learn something new.

Email

I agree to receive email updates