Progress comes to an end - Deepstash

Progress comes to an end

The scholars started to believe that they could move from certainty (fact) to certainty without any need for the messiness of 'possibility'. Possibility system: hypothesis, speculation, imagination etc

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Notes from the book 'Intelligence Information Thinking' by Edward De Bono

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Beliefs and Statistics

  • Researchers extract a lot of false certainty from data which is used to study a particular hypothesis, due to their myopic thinking, confirmation bias, and other cognitive assumptions that they aren't even aware of.
  • Many researchers believe in small samples of data as if they stand f...

Raise Confident

That in the end finding certainty, that’s another story, but the main mission is exploring the possibility.

If it is possible then it can be confirmed. If it is possible 0.9, then it could be rounded to 1 certainty.

Putting an end to the “happenstance” of learning

This means building a system that really thinks about what knowledge each worker needs for the job they’re doing, who they need to spend time with to gain it, and how that knowledge can be shared even more widely, so everyone benefits – wherever they are working.

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