Antifragile

• Attempting to avoid all volatility and disorder renders systems fragile, unable to adapt and strengthen.
• Biological and social systems require exposure to stresses, failures and turbulence in order to evolve greater resilience.

Progress comes through encountering challenges, not hypothetically modeling perfection.

Keep options open rather than narrowing choices. Optionality and flexibility allow capturing unpredictable upside while containing downside risk.

Specialization and overoptimization reduce options and increases fragility.

Many elegant mathematical models fail to account for real world unpredictability and complexity. Progress comes from incremental empiricism, not theoretical perfection.

Beware rationalist policies not grounded in on-the-ground evidence. Reality throws curveballs that defy detached abstractions.

Place small, low-risk bets to empirically test theories and options rather than making high-risk gambles based on assumptions.

Leverage fast feedback loops to gain intuition and learn from mistakes. Develop skills to handle unforeseen challenges through lived experience.

• Sheltered from volatility, systems become fragile and collapse with any disruption.
• True strength stems from stressors, trial-and-error, and antifragility.
• Turbulence distills via selection, revealing what withstands unforeseen risks. Challenges mastered make systems resilient.

How something is conveyed often matters more than what is conveyed - the medium influences interpretation and acceptance.

Leverage nuance and multiple mediums when communicating ideas.