“The first rule of the Dunning-Kruger club is that you don’t know you’re a member of the Dunning-Kruger club.”
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In learning any new domain, our confidence is actually highest when we start. Dunning and Kruger found that when we don’t know what we don’t know, we overestimate our abilities.
As philosopher Bertrand Russell famously put it: “The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure ...
The Dunning-Kruger effect is when you think you already “know” everything or brush off other people’s advice. People who experience the Dunning-Kruger effect are super confident and even arrogant—but the fact is we’ve all probably experienced this effect at times.
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