Mr Suleyman, one of the founders of Deepmind (now part of Google) argues AI will change anything:<ul><li>it will reduce the price of achieving any goal. If the printing press allowed ordinary people to own books, and the silicon chip put a computer in every home, AI will democratise simply doing things.</li><li>it will accelerate biotech development in combination with technologies like Crispr. Organisms will soon be designed with the precision and scale of today’s computer chips & software.</li></ul>Unfortunately, it also means engineering a run on a bank, or creating a deadly virus using a DNA synthesiser.

The AI Coming Wave

AI is not like a regular innovation:<ol><li>AI is capable of recursively self-improving, with the improvements compounding after each new iteration.</li><li> AI is "general" purpose idea that scales with more compute. Like electricity, it’s a technology that does everything. It will permeate all aspect of our lives because of the benefits it brings, but what enables those benefits also enables harms.</li><li>AI has “autonomy”. Unique among technologies so far in human history, AI has the potential to make decisions for itself.</li></ol>

AI Hyper Evolution

AI has a ton of risks but there is no way we can put the genie back into the bottle. The incentives are such that once out there every company or government will take advantage of this.The AI is reducing the barriers to entry to exercise power. AI will create an explosion in power not necessarily an explosion of intelligence.

AI is more about Power than Intelligence

The power of AI lays in what it can do not just in what in can say. With this in mind the focus on AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is a distraction. Mustafa Suleyman proposes the term ACI (Artificial Capable Intelligence) as a way to evaluate AI based on capabilities. Can it:<ul><li>browse the web</li><li>make API calls</li><li>phone and speak with humans or AIs</li><li>etc…</li></ul>

Artificially Capable Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence is about the power coming from the:<ul><li>Ability to take action</li><li>Ability to synthesise information</li><li>Ability to make predictions</li><li>Ability to affect the world around us</li></ul>Everything around us is affected by intelligence. Scaling this capability haz enormous potential and risk.

The alchemy of AI Power

We should be able to demonstrate to ourselves that the tech we are building is serving us. Tech should not be allowed to get out of control. "Containment" was once the byword for an American foreign policy aimed at limiting the Soviet Union's expansion. Suleyman does not see AI as a Soviet-style adversary, but thinks retaining human control of AI will require the same kind of long-range master plan as the Cold War.

Can AI be contained? The containment problem

'The Coming Wave' serves as an excellent guide for navigating unprecedented times. AI will change the way we work, communicate, learn, travel, and access health care. It's an incredibly exciting opportunity, but we have to proceed thoughtfully.

An urgent warning of the unprecedented risks that AI and other fast-developing technologies pose to global order, and how we might contain them while we have the chance—from a co-founder of the pioneering artificial intelligence company DeepMind “A fascinating, well-written, and important book.”—Yuval Noah Harari “Essential reading.”—Daniel Kahneman “An excellent guide for navigating unprecedented times.”—Bill Gates Longlisted for the Financial Times and Schroders Business Book of the Year Award • One of Kirkus Reviews’ Most Anticipated Books of the Fall We are approaching a critical threshold in the history of our species. Everything is about to change.    Soon you will live surrounded by AIs. They will organise your life, operate your business, and run core government services. You will live in a world of DNA printers and quantum computers, engineered pathogens and autonomous weapons, robot assistants and abundant energy.    None of us are prepared.   As co-founder of the pioneering AI company DeepMind, part of Google, Mustafa Suleyman has been at the centre of this revolution. The coming decade, he argues, will be defined by this wave of powerful, fast-proliferating new technologies.    In The Coming Wave, Suleyman shows how these forces will create immense prosperity but also threaten the nation-state, the foundation of global order. As our fragile governments sleepwalk into disaster, we face an existential dilemma: unprecedented harms on one side, the threat of overbearing surveillance on the other.    Can we forge a narrow path between catastrophe and dystopia?   This groundbreaking book from the ultimate AI insider establishes “the containment problem”—the task of maintaining control over powerful technologies—as the essential challenge of our age.

AI is more about Power than Intelligence

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