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Ideas from books, articles & podcasts.
It’s impossible to think about risk and opportunity without a reference point. And ours is at most incomplete (if not totally wrong).
Everything we think about risk and opportunity is shaped by our own specific situation and personal experience. So everybody has a view of risk shaped by narrow experiences but applied to the broad world.
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MORE IDEAS FROM THE SAME ARTICLE
Long-term thinking is difficult to put in action because the long run is a collection of short runs that have to be handled, displayed, and used as information to gauge whether a long-term reward still exists.
Life is a little easier if you expect a certain chunk of it to go wrong no matter how hard you try.
A fair evaluation of how uncertain the future is would make most people refuse to get out of bed every morning. Nothing would get done in the world if people were only driven by the accurate probability of their future success.
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