Embrace Uncertainty in Decision Outcomes - Deepstash
Embrace Uncertainty in Decision Outcomes

Embrace Uncertainty in Decision Outcomes

  • Consider a range of possible outcomes each with an associated probability of success.
  • Pre-mortems: Imagine that your decision has already failed and work backward to identify what could have caused the failure. Use this information to adjust probabilities and mitigate overconfidence.
  • Add margins of safety to timelines to account for uncertainties. Allocate additional resources where uncertainties are high.

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