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Countries on the rise vs those who are falling
Countries moving forward will have a percentage of stupid people but have an unusually high fraction of intelligent people who overcompensate for the stupid people. Declining nations have many non-stupid people whose behaviour strengthens the destructive power of their stupid fellow citizens.
Two unhelpful groups:
- "Bandits" in positions of power that they use for their own gain.
- Passive people out of power that sit do nothing as if they are helpless.
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The basic laws of human stupidity
In 1976, Italian economist Carlo M Cipolla defined the laws as follows:
- Everyone always underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation.
- The probability that a specific person is stupid is independent of any other characteristic
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Decline And The Composition Of The Non-Stupid
Declining societies have the same percentage of stupid people as successful ones. But they also have high percentages of helpless people and, Cipolla writes, “an alarming proliferation of the bandits with overtones of stupidity.”
“Such change in the...
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