Cathie Wood: Time To Sell Stocks? - Deepstash
Cathie Wood: Time To Sell Stocks?

Cathie Wood: Time To Sell Stocks?

Curated from: Investing Made Simple - Nathan Sloan

Ideas, facts & insights covering these topics:

2 ideas

Β·

963 reads

9

Explore the World's Best Ideas

Join today and uncover 100+ curated journeys from 50+ topics. Unlock access to our mobile app with extensive features.

The Buffet Indicator

The Buffet Indicator

The Buffett Indicator is the ratio of total the United States stock market valuation to GDP. It is said to be the best predictor of market corrections or crashes.Β 

As of May 6, 2021:

  • Aggregate US Market Value: $51.8T
  • Current Quarter Annualized GDP: $22.6T
  • Buffett Indicator:Β $51.8T Γ· $22.6TΒ =Β 229%

Historically, when the stock market went above GDP by 50-100% it crashed, going below GDP. 2021 is the year in the last 100 years when the ratio was over 2x the largest stock market in history.

60

707 reads

The impact of tech on the Buffet indicator

The impact of tech on the Buffet indicator

In 2021, Elon Musk asked Cathie Wood, the famous tech-focused investor from Ark investments, what is her explanation for the high Buffet indicator (a ratio of US stock market/GDP). Cathie suggests a few reasons:

  • while the indicator maintained its pattern over the last 100 years, in the late 1800s was much higher, suggesting tech infection points (telephone. electricity & automobile back then)
  • the new tech is deflationary, making lowering the basket included in GDP. So denominator goes down while the numerator.
  • as bonds yields ~1-3%, money is gonna move to other assets, like stocks.

34

256 reads

IDEAS CURATED BY

vladimir

Life-long learner. Passionate about leadership, entrepreneurship, philosophy, Buddhism & SF. Founder @deepstash.

Vladimir Oane's ideas are part of this journey:

What Is Opportunity Cost

Learn more about politics with this collection

The impact of opportunity cost on personal and professional life

Evaluating the benefits and drawbacks of different choices

Understanding the concept of opportunity cost

Related collections

Similar ideas

Read & Learn

20x Faster

without
deepstash

with
deepstash

with

deepstash

Personalized microlearning

β€”

100+ Learning Journeys

β€”

Access to 200,000+ ideas

β€”

Access to the mobile app

β€”

Unlimited idea saving

β€”

β€”

Unlimited history

β€”

β€”

Unlimited listening to ideas

β€”

β€”

Downloading & offline access

β€”

β€”

Supercharge your mind with one idea per day

Enter your email and spend 1 minute every day to learn something new.

Email

I agree to receive email updates