Most experts agree that there are three categories, or calibers, of AI development:
As of now, humans have conquered the lowest caliber of AI — ANI — in many ways, and it’s everywhere:
AI wouldn’t see ‘human-level intelligence’ as some important milestone — it’s only a relevant marker from our point of view — and wouldn’t have any reason to ‘stop’ at our level.
And given the advantages over us that even human intelligence-equivalent AGI would have, it’s pretty obvious that it would only hit human intelligence for a brief instant before racing onwards to the realm of superior-to-human intelligence.
If we conquer nanotechnology, the next step will be the ability to manipulate individual atoms, which are only one order of magnitude smaller.
Nanotechnology is an idea that comes up in almost everything you read about the future of AI. It’s the technology that works at the nano scale — from 1 to 100 nanometers. A nanometer is a millionth of a millimeter.
In 2013, Vincent C. Müller and Nick Bostrom conducted a survey that asked hundreds of AI expert the following:
So the median participant thinks it’s more likely than not that we’ll have AGI 25 years from now.
n it comes to developing supersmart AI, we’re creating something that will probably change everything, but in totally uncharted territory, and we have no idea what will happen when we get th
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