Danny Kahneman's love affair with Amos Tversky began in the spring of 1969, when his dazzling and clever colleague, also a professor of psychology at Hebrew University in Jerusalem, came to give a talk to Kahneman's graduate seminar. Tversky told the students about a new study being done by researchers in Michigan on how regular people tend to think about statistics.
Researchers extract a lot of false certainty from data which is used to study a particular hypothesis, due to their myopic thinking, confirmation bias, and other cognitive assumptions that they aren't even aware of.
Many researchers believe in small samples of data as if they stand for the whole of the population, and this can lead to unpredictable consequences.
It points out our irrational bias and behavior towards our surroundings. How people succumb to irrational beliefs was demonstrated in an experiment at a University Kitchen.
It found out that if there was a poster with eyes put up near the kitchen counter, then people were more likely to pay for the food, subconsciously taking those eyes in the poster as someone looking at them.
"You can increase your problem-solving skills by honing your question-asking ability." - Michael J. Gelb Hurdles are disheartening, and they're often unavoidable. It happens to all of us. Even the most successful people you admire face obstacles everyday. Life is like a game of chess. There is an infinite number of ways to play.
Detectives and investigators use the process. They ask both obvious and unthinkable questions.
Get close and collect information about how the problem is manifesting. Understand where the problem does and doesn’t happen, when the problem started, and how often the problem occurs to generate critical insight for the problem-solving effort.