6. No Autocorrelation - Deepstash

# 6. No Autocorrelation

• Autocorrelation is a mathematical representation of the degree of similarity between a given time series and a lagged version of itself over successive time intervals.
• It is similar to the Correlation between two different Time Series but Autocorrelation uses same time series twice.
• One is Original form and other one is Lagged version of Original form.

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### 1. Linearity

• A Linear Regression is Linear because the Equation is Linear.
• To verify the Linearity between Independent and Dependent Variable apply Scatter plot.
• If the Data points form a pattern that looks like a Straight Line then Linear Regression is Suitable.

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### What is Ordinary Least Square Method?

Ordinary least squares, or linear least squares, estimates the parameters in a regression model by minimizing the sum of the squared residuals.

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### Autocorrelation Detection

To detect autocorrelation

• Plot all points and check for patterns or
• Use Durbin - Watson test.

There is no remedy for Autocorrelation. Instead of linear regression, we can use

• Autoregressive Models.
• Moving Average Models.

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### Assumptions for OLS

OLS Assumptions are the Conditions that we need to consider them before performing Regression Analysis.

Some OLS Assumptions are:

1. Linearity
2. No Endogeneity
3. Normality
4. Zero Mean of Error Terms
5. Homoscedasticity

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### Heteroscedasticity

In order to prevent Heteroscedasticity, we need to

• Look for Omitted Variable Bias.
• Look for Outliers.
• Apply log Transformation.

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### Non-Linear Pattern

If the pattern doesn't looks like a Straight Line, then we need to apply

• A Non Linear Regression or
• Exponential Transformation or
• Log Transformation.

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### 2. No Endogeneity

• Technically, Endogeneity occurs when a predictor variable (x) in a regression model is correlated with the error term (e) in the model.
• This usually occurs due to the Omitted Variable Bias (when we forget to include a releva...

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### 3. Normality of Error Terms

• We need to consider that our Error Term is normally distributed.
• We only need Normal Distribution while making Statistical Inferences.
• T-tests and F-tests work because we have assumed normality.
• If Error Term isn't normally distribute...

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### 4. Zero Mean of Error Terms

• If the Mean of the Error Terms is not expected to be zero then the line is not the Best fitting one.
• Having an Intercept Solves the problem.

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### 5. Homoscedasticity

• Homoscedasticity means to have “Equal Variance”. The error terms should have equal variance with one another.
• When the error terms don’t have “Equal Variance”, then Heteroscedasticity happens.

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### Fixing Multicollinearity

To fix Multicollinearity:

• If the Dataset is small, we can drop one independent variable. Or we can Transform them into One Variable (Eg. Average of two Variables)
• If the Dataset is large, we will use Ridge and Lasso Regression.

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### 7. No Multicollinearity

• We observe Multicollinearity when two or more Independent Variables in a model are “Highly Correlated”.
• Correlation could be Positive (or) Negative.
• This will lead result in less reliable predictions.
• Multicollineari...

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These are some of the Assumptions to be pondered while Applying Ordinary Least Square Method and Performing Regression Analysis.

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