Use an Explicit Probability Rather than An Ambiguous Term - Deepstash
Use an Explicit Probability Rather than An Ambiguous Term

Use an Explicit Probability Rather than An Ambiguous Term

One way to make higher quality decisions is to get more information – often from other people. If you’re using these ambiguous terms with other people, it’s harder to uncover disagreement (and disagreement can help you get relevant information).

Precision uncovers disagreement. For example, say you think something has around a 30% chance of happening, and your friend thinks it has a 70% chance. If you tell them you think it has a 30% chance of happening, your disagreement is revealed immediately.

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camille_aa

Mental health is health. Meditation nerd.

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2. Decide whether to wait

2. Decide whether to wait

After this risk assessment, you may decide it’s best to hold off on voicing your opinion. Maybe you haven’t finished thinking the problem through, the whole discussion was a surprise to you, or you want to get a clearer sense of what the group thinks.

If you think other people are going to...

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