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What Is Exactly The Butterfly Effect
The butterfly effect rests on the notion that the world is deeply interconnected, such that one small occurrence can influence a much larger complex system.
The effect is named after an allegory for chaos theory; it evokes the idea that a small butterfly flapping its wings could, hypothetically, cause a typhoon.
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A butterfly has the potential to create tiny changes
A butterfly has the potential to create tiny changes which, while not creating a typhoon, could alter its trajectory.
A flapping wing represents the minuscule changes in atmospheric pressure, and these changes compound as a model progresses. Given that sma...
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Tiny Changes Can Throw Off Results
He theorized that weather prediction models are inaccurate because knowing the precise starting conditions is impossible, and a tiny change can throw off the result. To make the concept understandable to non-scientific audiences, Lorenz began to use the b...
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"Some systems … are very sensitive to their starting conditions, so that a tiny difference in the initial ‘push’ you give them causes a big difference in where they end up, and there is feedback, so that what a system does affects its own behavior.”
JOHN GRIBBIN WRITES IN HIS CULT-CLASSIC WORK DEEP SIMPLICITY
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Example
Imagine you bumped into someone at a coffee shop that happens to work at your dream company and eventually got you an interview there.
What if you had chosen a different coffee shop, or been there five minutes later? You may not have met the person that got you into your dream job....
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However
Of course, a single act like the butterfly flapping its wings cannot cause a typhoon.
Small events can, however, serve as catalysts that act on starting conditions.
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It is symbolic representation of an unknowable quantity
he butterfly effect is somewhat humbling—a model that exposes the flaws in other models. It shows science to be less accurate than we assume, as we have no means of making accurate predictions due to the exponential growth of errors.
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“You could not remove a single grain of sand from its place without thereby … changing something throughout all parts of the immeasurable whole.”
FICHTE, THE VOCATION OF MAN (1800)
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Edward Lorenz and the Discovery of the Butterfly Effect
In an experiment to model a weather prediction, Edward Lorenz ( a meteorologist and a mathematician) entered the initial condition as 0.506, instead of 0.506127.
The result was surprising: a somewhat different prediction. From this, he deduced that the weather must turn on a dime. ...
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The butterfly effect is an often misunderstood phenomenon wherein a small change in starting conditions can lead to vastly different outcomes. Understanding the butterfly effect can give us a new lens through which to view business, markets, and more.
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Tiny variations vastly affect the outcome
Order on a small scale can produce chaos on a larger scale. In systems that behave without chaotic effects, small differences could eventually increase in size until they produce large effects - the hallmark of a chaotic system.
Meteorologist Edward Lorenz made this profou...
Understanding the butterfly effect
A good way to see the butterfly effect is with a game of billiards. No matter how consistent you are with the first shot, the smallest of differences in the speed and angle with which you strike the white ball will cause the balls to scatter in different directions every time.
What at ...
Integrated Information Theory (IIT)
The starting point of this theory is that each experience has specific essential properties. It is necessary, structured, and distinct. It is unified and definite. An experience of sitting on a park bench on a warm, sunny day, watching children play, cannot be separated into ...
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