• Underestimating that surprises and improbable events happen, somewhere, sometimes, to someone, if they have enough opportunities (large enough size or time) to happen.
• Looking for meaning, searching for causes, and making up patterns for chance events

Mishaps happen. Track your problem and then get back to the regular program. Don't let the guilt from one bad meal derail your entire effort.

Tracking is great for getting a baseline and moving toward a generally more informed way of eating.

Most of us have a simple, cause-to-effect relationship with our surroundings and the events that unfold in our lives. We try to solve problems using a linear-thinking model, resulting in inconstant consequences. This is known as The Cobra Effect.

Linear thinking as...