Hindsight Bias - Deepstash

Hindsight Bias

We can see clearly a causal relationship from a series of event in retrospect, even though during the time those events were happening it’s totally unpredictable.

For example, after each election we hear people rationalize whatever the result, even though it’s 50-50 before the election or contrary to the actual result.

Before the crisis, only few people can see what’s happening. After the crisis, everyone seems to have seen what’s to come.

This bias is dangerous because it makes us think we are better predictor and take too much risks.

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clevercoworker

Lifelong learner and content creator. Helping you to find joy at work, get more things done, and be your best self.

The book is a compilation of 99 logical fallacies and thinking error. I put together only the most relevant to me in this list.

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