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Simulating a crisis
Modeling systems are used to provide a better understanding of a bad situation and how to possibly prevent it.
Groups of researchers, teams of engineers and companies are dedicated to simulate a range of disasters to help us all be better prepared.
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Why we use models
- A model is just a series of calculations that abstractly represent some systems in the real world. We use models all the time.
- We may work out the routes we could take to get to work at a specific time of the day. We use past data to make predictions about what we...
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The accuracy of a model
You can never accurately predict what's going to happen. Some efforts come close.
For example, models looking at the weather can achieve more than 90% accuracy. But crises are about change, and a model working from historical data may miss a dramatic and new change.
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How people could respond to different situations
Knowing how people will respond in different situations is essential if you hope to keep them safe during a crisis. A type of simulation known as agent-based modelling attempts to understand interpersonal behaviours.
In stadiums, crowds of people can behave very differently depending ...
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Guiding principles for a crisis response
- Part of the response is to hold performance and growth check-ins to acknowledge the contribution each employee is making and help them manage their longer-term professional goals.
- Err on the side of overcommunicating. Create a communication plan and be consistent. E.g., a daily ema...
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