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No One Can Predict The Weather
- Weather predictions, even with our amazing technological advances, are still laughably wrong.
- The founder of the ‘chaos’ theory, Edward Lorenz, a meteorologist and mathematician, discovered deterministic chaos in 1961 while trying to predict the weather using a simple computer.
- A small decimal number rounding off created a huge difference in the final outcome, leading to the creation of a seminal paper on the Butterfly Effect.
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The Butterfly Effect
Tiny, minute changes in the initial conditions, circumstances and events can have a huge, outsized impact on the final outcome.
The Butterfly Effect, which was made mainstream by the 2004 movie of the same name, takes into account the power of a tiny thing, event or action...
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Small Things, Big Results
Cognitive Science has certain dynamic systems where many small mental, behavioural, social and neural changes in neurotransmitters, even in tiny parameters, lead to huge effects in their action and behaviour.
A small change in the marketing mix often results in a large improvement or a...
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The Arrow Of Time
We grow older, not younger, and if we break something, it can’t be unbroken. The world, it seems, goes from order to disorder, getting messy every minute.
The arrow of time only goes forward, and any introduction of randomness creates a multiplier effect in the environment, leading to unpr...
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MORE LIKE THIS
Tiny variations vastly affect the outcome
Order on a small scale can produce chaos on a larger scale. In systems that behave without chaotic effects, small differences could eventually increase in size until they produce large effects - the hallmark of a chaotic system.
Meteorologist Edward Lorenz made this profou...
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