While you should always be on your guard, in reality there is a price to making wrong predictions. There are 4 points to remember when deciding whether to act on your predictions or not.<ol><li>Reliability - do you have enough details to make an informed prediction?</li><li>Importance - how will the future change if you act or not?</li><li>Cost - is the action simple or would it require significant effort?</li><li>Effectiveness - will your precautions be effective in protecting you or your loved ones?</li></ol>

RICE evaluation

There are 4 elements when it comes to predicting violence:<ol><li>Justification - do they have a reason?</li><li>Alternatives - is there an easier way for them to solve this?</li><li>Consequences - what are the repercussions and how much do they matter?</li><li>Ability - can they carry out the violent deeds with a high enough confidence?</li></ol>

JACA analysis

Though the media tends to present violent events as unavoidable, this is almost never the case. The signs that predict violence are ignored by the right people for long periods of time before it is too late.These events refer to escalations of stalking, domestic dissatisfaction, office troubles and many others.💡 Scroll down for some tips on how you can identify the cues of dangerous behavior!

Predicting Violence

<ol><li>Forced teaming - manipulation into an attitude of "we're in the same boat" even though it is not the case</li><li>Charm and niceness</li><li>Too many details</li><li>Typecasting - asserting a negative trait of the victim so they feel compelled to prove otherwise</li><li>Loan sharking - offering unwarranted help so the victim feels they "owe" them</li><li>Unsolicited promise - reassurance with no intention of follow through</li><li>Discounting the word "no" - straight up ignoring refusal or rejection</li></ol>

Tactics used by people with bad intentions

Explains how to use the power of intuition to identify and avoid danger, and shares advice on restraining orders and self-defense tactics

personaldevelopment

Personal Development

books

Books

True fear is a gift. Unwarranted fear is a curse. Learn how to tell the difference. A date won't take "no" for an answer. The new nanny gives a mother an uneasy feeling. A stranger in a deserted parking lot offers unsolicited help. The threat of violence surrounds us every day. But we can protect ourselves, by learning to trust--and act on--our gut instincts. In this empowering book, Gavin de Becker, the man Oprah Winfrey calls the nation's leading expert on violent behavior, shows you how to spot even subtle signs of danger--before it's too late. Shattering the myth that most violent acts are unpredictable, de Becker, whose clients include top Hollywood stars and government agencies, offers specific ways to protect yourself and those you love, including...how to act when approached by a stranger...when you should fear someone close to you...what to do if you are being stalked...how to uncover the source of anonymous threats or phone calls...the biggest mistake you can make with a threatening person...and more. Learn to spot the danger signals others miss. It might just save your life.

RICE evaluation

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