Why Most Post-Crisis Predictions Will Be Totally Wrong - Deepstash
Why Most Post-Crisis Predictions Will Be Totally Wrong

Why Most Post-Crisis Predictions Will Be Totally Wrong

Curated from: marker.medium.com

Ideas, facts & insights covering these topics:

3 ideas

Β·

632 reads

1

Explore the World's Best Ideas

Join today and uncover 100+ curated journeys from 50+ topics. Unlock access to our mobile app with extensive features.

The Feature Presentation of 2020

The Feature Presentation of 2020

Throughout history, the most significant and world-changing events emerge in a low-key manner, without warning. 2020 has one such event.

While a global pandemic is unfolding right before our eyes, there is a rush of predictions regarding the changes in our professional and personal lives, and if we go by history, most of these predictions will be inaccurate.

53

223 reads

Bad Predictions

  • During 9/11, it was predicted that the event will permanently alter our sense of irony. In reality, 9/11 caused massive changes in air travel norms.

  • At the time of the 2009 financial crisis, Time Magazine declared that conspicuous consumption is now over. In reality, the economy made record gains after the 2009 dip.

  • Many others also predicted a long-term reluctance to spend. In reality, global sales of luxury items show an upward trend in the last 20 years.

  • Carmakers slashed production of SUVs, a symbol of excess, and just a β€˜bubble’ according to an expert. In reality, Carmakers are slashing sedan production due to the high demand for SUVs.

58

207 reads

The Unpredictability Factor

Predictions are inherently inaccurate because in the time horizon of 10 to 12 years many other things happen which cannot be foreseen, and which cause all kinds of good and bad effects. Speculation is useful and starts interesting discussions (like death rate predictions and economic consequences), helping us make the right steps.

The Prediction that can’t go wrong: The future is always unpredictable.

63

202 reads

IDEAS CURATED BY

jasonzz

I love this app. It`s like the brain I never got.

Jason Z.'s ideas are part of this journey:

Business Writing

Learn more about problemsolving with this collection

How to write clearly and concisely

How to use proper grammar and punctuation

How to structure a business document

Related collections

Similar ideas

It's Electric Vehicle supremacy right now

5 ideas

It's Electric Vehicle supremacy right now

trajectorymatrix.substack.com

Embracing the Uncertainties

4 ideas

Read & Learn

20x Faster

without
deepstash

with
deepstash

with

deepstash

Personalized microlearning

β€”

100+ Learning Journeys

β€”

Access to 200,000+ ideas

β€”

Access to the mobile app

β€”

Unlimited idea saving

β€”

β€”

Unlimited history

β€”

β€”

Unlimited listening to ideas

β€”

β€”

Downloading & offline access

β€”

β€”

Supercharge your mind with one idea per day

Enter your email and spend 1 minute every day to learn something new.

Email

I agree to receive email updates