Embracing the Uncertainties
Curated from: nytimes.com
Ideas, facts & insights covering these topics:
4 ideas
·797 reads
Explore the World's Best Ideas
Join today and uncover 100+ curated journeys from 50+ topics. Unlock access to our mobile app with extensive features.
An Uncertain World
The ongoing epidemic, due to its unknown nature, has provided us with a lot of uncertainties related to the characteristics, severity, mortality rate, infectious rate and spread of the disease. These uncertainties make it all the more deadly.
Conflicting guidelines (like on the use of masks) and ad hoc statements have made many people skeptical of the experts, in this post-truth society.
107
256 reads
Kinds of Uncertainty
- Epistemic Uncertainty: Uncertain information and data about the past or present, which can be unraveled by using measuring tools.
- Aleatory Uncertainty: The unknown things about the future related to randomness, luck, chance or indeterminacy.
- Deep Uncertainty: Also called radical uncertainty, it is a state in which there are so many unknown things that the future looks like an abyss.
125
206 reads
Statistics Vs The Truth
In statistical science, risk is an important uncertainty, but a comparing of risks sometimes does not take into account certain human factors, leading to misinformation or even disinformation. This is due to the statistical models being oversimplifications of the real world.
Statistical data is a ‘Map’, not the actual territory.
104
166 reads
Ambiguity Aversion
Uncertainty triggers an ambiguity aversion (a preference for known risks over unknown risks) among people as they feel unsettled and in limbo due to the lack of sure footing of information.
A study suggests that it is better to be completely transparent about the uncertainty than to be ambiguous.
107
169 reads
IDEAS CURATED BY
Jack 's ideas are part of this journey:
Learn more about problemsolving with this collection
How to build a network while working remotely
How to work remotely
How to manage finances while working remotely
Related collections
Similar ideas
3 ideas
5 ideas
3 reasons for information exhaustion – and what to do about it
theconversation.com
4 ideas
How Our Brains Help Misinformation Go Viral
greatergood.berkeley.edu
Read & Learn
20x Faster
without
deepstash
with
deepstash
with
deepstash
Personalized microlearning
—
100+ Learning Journeys
—
Access to 200,000+ ideas
—
Access to the mobile app
—
Unlimited idea saving
—
—
Unlimited history
—
—
Unlimited listening to ideas
—
—
Downloading & offline access
—
—
Supercharge your mind with one idea per day
Enter your email and spend 1 minute every day to learn something new.
I agree to receive email updates