Are we on the road to civilisation collapse? - Deepstash

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Are we on the road to civilisation collapse?

bbc.com

When civilizations collapse

Looking at the rise and fall of historical civilizations, the forces that precipitate or delay a collapse can tell us about our own.

We can define collapse as a rapid and enduring loss of population, identity, and socio-economic complexity. Public services fold, and chaos ensues a...

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Societies of the past and present are just complex systems comprising of people and technology.

Although we have better technologies, we are not immune to the threats that faced our ancestors. If anything, our technological abilities bring more challenges. Our globalized ...

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Although there is no conclusive explanation of why civilizations collapse, there are factors that can contribute.

  • Climatic change can result in disaster, resulting in crop failure, starvation, and desertification. The Akkadians, the Mayan, the Roman Empire, and...

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Four possible metrics serve as indicators to see if our chance of collapse is falling or rising.

  1. Temperature is a clear metric for climate change.
  2. Complexity is represented by GDP.
  3. The ecological footprint is an indicator of

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The collapse metrics are not the whole picture without also adding societal resilience, which may delay or prevent collapse.

  • Global economic diversity - a measurement of the diversity and sophistication of country exports - is higher today than fif...

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In the past, collapse was within a region. Today the world is deeply interconnected and interdependent, making societal collapse more treacherous.

  • The weapons available today range from biological agents to nuclear weapons.
  • People produce food and essential goods in an in...

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History suggests that a collapse of our civilization, although likely, is not inevitable.

We may slow the chance of a future collapse if we reduce emissions, level inequalities, reverse environmental degradation, innovate, and diversify our economies. We can also invest in recovery. Avoid...

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