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1. Institutional investors “sell” themselves to the masses as highly skilled stock pickers.
2. Stock pickers buy on good news and sell on bad news.
3. when stock picker sent prices spiraling to insane lows, graham saw a fantastic opportunity to make money.
pankaj pawar
112
1.2K reads
4. “oversold businesses” at prices below their long-term intrinsic value, eventually the market would acknowledge its mistake and revalue them upward.
113
992 reads
Graham really didn’t care about the kind of business he was buying, in his world every business had a price at which it was a bargain.
Graham was focused on finding companies trading at less than half of what they held in cash. He called it “buying a dollar for 50 cents.”
Graham had other standards as well such as never paying more than 10 times company’s earnings and selling the stock if it was up 50%. if it didn’t go up within two years, he would sell it anyway.
122
760 reads
Drawbacks- Not all of Graham’s undervalues businesses were revalued upward; some actually went into bankruptcy. With every batch of winners also came quite a few losers, Which greatly dampened overall performance.
111
673 reads
Warren noticed that prices of some stocks soar far above where they had been when graham unloaded them.
these “superstars” all benefited from some kind of competitive advantage that created monopoly-like economics, allowing them either to charge more or sell more of their products.
company’s durable competitive advantage made these business investments a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Because these business economics working in their favor, there was zero chance of them ever going into bankruptcy.
116
584 reads
Because these business economics working in their favor, there was zero chance of them ever going into bankruptcy.
The lower stock stock price also meant a greater upside potential for gain.
Warren realized that he no longer had to wait for wall street to serve up a bargain price. He could a pay a fair price for one of these super businesses and still come out ahead, Provided he held the investment long enough.
warren holds stocks for longer just so that he can avoid paying tax on his profits.
114
500 reads
Time will make him superrich when he invests in a company that has a durable competitive advantage working in its favor.
112
491 reads
Does the company have any identifiable consumer monopolies or brand-name products.
Do you understand how it works?
Is the company conservatively Financed?
Are the earnings of the company strong and do they show an upward trend?
The company allocates capital only to those businesses within its realm of expertise?
How frequently does the company buy back its own shares?
How does the management spend the retained earnings of the company?
The company’s return on equity above average?
Is the company free to adjust prices to inflation?
131
457 reads
Do operations require large capital expenditure to constantly update the company’s plant and equipment?
116
484 reads
Divide EPS by share price to get Initial rate of return (initial rate of return is the minimum return that you can expect from a stock)
Divide the EPS of the particular stock by the long term government bond interest rate
The value that you get after doing so is the amount that you pay towards the stock to get the investment that you would get from government bonds.
125
351 reads
PV = FV/(1+r)^n
FV = PV(1+r)^n
r = (FV/PV)^1/n - 1
127
439 reads
Predict the Future EPS using annual earnings growth rate
Now look for the range in which the stock’s PE ratio is and multiply the PE ratio to the EPS from previous step
Now add all the dividends collected during this period
Repeat the process with the stock’s Highest PE ratio
After you get the future value of the stock just calculate R(compounding rate of return) using the formula for R
118
330 reads
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