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Taking caution before moving forward

Even if we make the slightest change within a complex system, we risk far-reaching unintended consequences.

The Precautionary Principle reflects working with and within complex systems. It focuses on waiting for more complete information before risking the possibility of damage, especially if the possible impact would have a bigger negative impact. For example, invasive species can cause native species to become extinct, therefore extreme caution is advised.

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Preventing risks and protecting resources

The Precautionary Principle prompts us to question our intuitions about the right decisions. The principle was first applied to regulations in Germany for preventing air pollution. It consists of two core components in German environmental law:

  • Preventing risks: Legisl...

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The precautionary Principle

The precautionary principle refers to preventing harm by not doing anything that could have negative consequences.

It is best set out by using the proverb "better safe than sorry" or the medical motto, "first do no harm." The principle has strengths and weaknesses, and it i...

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When not to use the Precautionary Principle

The Precautionary Principle is not applicable:

  • When the scale of a potential risk is too low for precautionary action to have a benefit.
  • When the tradeoffs are substantial and known. When we know that not taking action will cause more damage th...

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When to use the Precautionary Principle

  • When the costs of waiting are low and the safety of something is uncertain.
  • When preserving optionality is a priority. Ensuring we don't restrict the available resources or leave messes we can't deal with.
  • When the potential costs of ...

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How to use the Precautionary Principle

When dealing with risks, we need to be aware of what we don't or can't know for sure.

How to use the Principle:

  • Competing priorities should be combined with other decision-making principles. E.g. "Explore vs exploit" means focusing on existing options before tryi...

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