Probability is the study of randomness. Probability distribution is a function that measures the probability of a specific outcome associated with the random variable.
Probability theory and statistics are about different aspects of uncertainty.
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Understanding the importance of decision-making
Identifying biases that affect decision-making
Analyzing the potential outcomes of a decision
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Oh yes; the biggest problems tend to arise when investors forget about the difference between probability and outcome—that is, when they forget about the limits on foreknowledge:
• when they believe the shape of the probability distribution is knowable with certainty (and that they know it...
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