Learn more about psychology with this collection
Understanding the importance of decision-making
Identifying biases that affect decision-making
Analyzing the potential outcomes of a decision
The future is not a “point”—a single scenario that we must predict. It is a range. We should bookend the future, considering a range of outcomes from very bad to very good.
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Sometimes we think we’re gathering information when we’re actually fishing for support.
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Focusing is great for analyzing alternatives but terrible for spotting them. When we focus we sacrifice peripheral vision.
Multitracking involves considering several options simultaneously. Multitracking has another advantage too, one that is more unexpected. It feels better.
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When we make bad decisions is usually because of these 4:
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It describes the process that “wraps” around your usual way of making decisions, helping to protect you from some of the villains and biases related to decision making:
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We sometimes make bad decisions because we are too much into the weeds in our head. There are 2 main views we hold:
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To use 10/10/10, think about your decisions on three different time frames: How will I feel about it 10 minutes from now? How about 10 months from now? How about 10 years from now?
Conducting a 10/10/10 analysis doesn’t presuppose that the long-term perspective is the right...
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Our decisions are often altered by two subtle short-term emotions:
Loosing sucks and we subconscio...
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Knowing that the future will not work out exactly as planned, it is better to prepare for a variety of outcomes, including some of the bad ones. Then, when the worst-case scenario happens, we realize it's not all bad, and we can manage if it happens again.
It will ...
This translate into:
Our biological evolution hasn’t just hindered us from addressing the challenge of climate change. It’s also equipped us with capacities to overcome them: we can recall past events and anticipate future scenarios. We can imagine and predict multiple, complex outcomes and identify actions needed in...
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