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Betting harder with money you won and being more conservative with your own money makes sense because that’s how you survive.
Thaler and other behavioral economists don’t get it because they see the world as a one-shot game instead of a series of repeated trades.
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In societies, minorities can come to dictate the rules to the majority.
This usually happens because of asymmetry or because when the majority is either too flexible, too accommodating, or too indifferent.
A case of asymmetry is between smokers and non-smokers.
A smoker can sit in ...
And when in doubt, it’s better not to mess with these systems. Starting a war to implement democracies is an example of messing with a complex system.
Clueless politicians compare a local dictator not with the local alternatives but with a Norwegian prime minister.
These people keep s...
It is the most intolerant person who imposes virtues on others precisely because of that intolerance.
We need to be more than intolerant with some intolerant minorities. The West is currently in the process of committing suicide.
It’s perfectly rational to overestimate some tail risks because you can’t consider them in isolation.
Driving after 2 glasses of wine once will not be extremely dangerous, but doing so every day is.
When you measure tail risks in the laboratory you only consider one tail risks at a t...
it’s not the poor who are actually envious of the rich and it’s not the poor who first embrace communist movements.
It’s usually the bourgeois and the intellectuals and the clerical class who first embrace communism. It’s because of jealousy.
Those who don’t take risks should never be involved in making decisions
Employees display submission by going through years of personal deprivation.
Givin' up 9 hours of one’s time for years, every day is the equivalent of domestication.
And showing up on time every day is the sign of an obedient, housebroken dog.
The question is whether you want to be a ...
You often hear people saying that you are more likely to die by X silly thing -ie.: coconut falling- than by terrorist attacks or Ebola outbreaks but that makes no sense.
People dying because of falling coconuts or people who die by drowning in their bathtub will never double from one year ...
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Avoid taking financial cues from people playing a different game than you are.
Few things matter more with money than understanding your own time horizon and not being persuaded by the actions & behaviors of people playing different games than you are. Go out of your way to...
"Why refuse to specify [the outcome]? Because while you are failing to define success, you are also refusing to define failure, to yourself, so that if and when you fail you won’t notice, and it won’t hurt. But that won’t work! You cannot be fooled so easily. You will instead carry with you a ...
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