1. Identify your driving forces: the big shifts in society, economics, technology and politics in the future and see how it will affect your company.
2. Identify your critical uncertainties: pick 1-2 of the driving forces (with the most impact).
3. Develop a range of ...

• Don't fall into the trap is to be paralyzed by the multitude of possibilities. Keep it simple and focus on two major uncertainties.
• Don't believe that you have to choose one particular scenario and build your strategy around it. Scenario planning is not about choosing j...

It's not entirely bad because- 

1. It is a bit difficult to tell what would be the rational decision in these scenarios. It is not really possible to imagine your future self because your future self will largely be formed in response to the decision that you’re about to ...