Predict - Deepstash
Predict

Predict

Nobody can predict when these drops will happen, even though the media is filled with those who claim they can. They are delusional, trying to sell you something or both. Ignore them.

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Money doesn't buy happiness - it buys freedom.

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2 kinds of people

  • Those who believe they can make things happen. They are convinced that the outcome of their lives and careers is more or less in their own hands
  • Those who believe things happen to them. They sit around and wait for the bus to take them somewhere.

Probability vs outcome

Oh yes; the biggest problems tend to arise when investors forget about the difference between probability and outcome—that is, when they forget about the limits on foreknowledge:

• when they believe the shape of the probability distribution is knowable with certainty (and that they know it...

YOUR PERSONAL EXPERIENCES MAKE UP MAYBE 0.00000001% OF WHAT'S HAPPENED IN THE WORLD BUT MAYBE 80% OF HOW YOU THINK THE WORLD WORKS

People believe what they’ve seen happen exponentially more than what they read about has happened to other people, if they read about other people at all. We’re all biased to our own personal history. Everyone.

[Y]ou...

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