Intuition is our past knowledge, we relate it to new information like from our observation
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Observation is the art of gathering information about what you see. Mastering this powerful skill makes you a holder of secrets, the one who holds the cards, and anything else.
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When we are exposed to new information, we adapt to it in one of two ways:
He wondered how he could predict the probability of a future event if he only knew how many times it had occurred, or not, in the past. Bayes figured out that even when it comes to uncertain outcomes, we can update our knowledge by incorporating new, relevant information as it becomes available.
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