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Ryker
@rykerx66
The causation fallacies: oversimplification and exaggeration
The causation fallacies, known as oversimplification and exaggeration, occurs when a series of real causes for an event is either reduced or overstated to the extent that it distorts the truth. Multiple causes are reduced to just one or a few (oversimplification), or a few causes are multiplied into many (exaggeration).
For the sake of brevity, well-intentioned writers and speakers can fall into the trap of oversimplification. They may leave out too many details and omit critical information that needs to be included.
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Aurora E.
@aurora_aee25
What causes some people to be left-handed, and why are fewer people left-handed than right-handed?
Right-Handed Vs Left Handed
Human hand preference is predictably a biological and genetic (hereditary) phenomenon, but we see that 85 percent of people are right-handed.
Researchers have identified the specific gene (...
Unpredictable By Nature
Just like the weather, nature made sure that there are enough influencing factors that cause changes in hand-preference, like external, societal and cultural pressures, to result in various possible genetic combinations and chance influences.
This makes the entire process of hand preference unpredictable by design.
Elena X.
@elenxx444
The Argument from Incredulity: How People Explain What They Don't Understand
Basic structure of an argument from incredulity
Premise 1: I can’t explain or imagine how proposition X can be true.
Premise 2: if a certain proposition is true, then I must be able to explain or imagine how that can be.
It’s ok to be incredulous
... and to bring this up as part of an argument. The issue with doing so occurs when this incredulity isn’t justified or supported by concrete information, and when this lack of belief is used in order to assume that a preferred personal explanation must be the right one, despite the lack of proof.
At the same time, it’s also important to remember that it’s possible that the person using the argument from incredulity is right, despite the fact that their reasoning is flawed.
Counter the argument from incredulity
- Explain why this sort of reasoning is fallacious: namely the fact that your opponent’s inability to explain a certain phenomenon or to understand a certain theory, does not invalidate current explanations for it.
- Shift the burden of proof back to your opponent: ask them to support their initial assertion, and explain why they are incredulous, and why they think that this validates their position.
- If possible, you should show that there is scientific evidence that can be used in order to explain the phenomenon that’s being discussed.
Angela Z.
@angelazz492
Stories are powerful tools
The ability to create stories helps people to cooperate and move forward. Stories have multiple advantages: They allow us to discern complex situations, remember ideas, communi...
The story skeptic
Listening to captivating stories can lead to biased evaluations and irreversible mistakes in business.
When it comes to dealing with critical problems, it is useful to become a story sceptic.
Hindsight bias
A narrative created after a specific result often downplays alternative scenarios that could have happened, making success and failure seem more predictable than they are.
Outcomes that seem obvious in hindsight are often unknown at the time of the decision, such as the modern PC, Google, or Harry Potter, that expert investors initially rejected. Often, not even the owners can accurately predict their own potential.
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