The Good Scenarios

While providing a set of scenarios, four is a good number to showcase a rich set of plausible futures.

• They should ideally have the details of the likelihood or probability of the success or failure and be customized to fit the context.
• Events of the past are generally unreliable indicators of the future due to a drastic change in the environment.
• The scenarios listed should serve a purpose which is a low signal at present but has the potential to turn into a much higher signal in the future.
• Any given field will have its own set of unique scenarios.