The Good Scenarios - Deepstash

The Good Scenarios

While providing a set of scenarios, four is a good number to showcase a rich set of plausible futures.

  • They should ideally have the details of the likelihood or probability of the success or failure and be customized to fit the context.
  • Events of the past are generally unreliable indicators of the future due to a drastic change in the environment.
  • The scenarios listed should serve a purpose which is a low signal at present but has the potential to turn into a much higher signal in the future.
  • Any given field will have its own set of unique scenarios.

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benqxx

Success is the sum of small efforts repeated every day.

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Scenario Planning: The Eight-Step Process

It has two parts, with the first five steps, concentrating on which particular scenarios to work on, and the rest three steps towards the story, implications and indicators.

  1. Focal Issue: identify what to focus on.
  2. Key Factors: brainstorm about the various factors influencin...

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