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The tail-end consequences of an action or event (those with low-probability, high-impact) are all that matter.
In investing, the average consequences of risk make up most of the daily news headlines. But the tail-end consequences of risk (for example, pandemics and depressions) are what make the pages of history books.
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The first two are easy to understand. It’s the third that’s hardest to learn, and can often only be learned through experi...
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The Risk Factor Summation Method or RFS Method is a slightly more evolved version of the Berkus Method. First, you determine an initial value for your box. Then you adjust said value for 12 risk factors inherent to box-building.
The initial value is determined as the average value for a sim...
Eliminating ego from all investment and trading decisions starts with ignoring the news, experts, and any inputs other than the herd behavior in markets.
Prices rise & fall to levels that many believe are not sustainable, following trends allows you to take advantage of the...
Time commitment to get started: Medium
Type: Abstract, visual, tactile
Perfect for people who: Feel overwhelmed with the number of things they need to do
What it does: Keeps track of everything you need...
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