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Daniel Kahneman: The Thought Leader Interview
In statistical thinking, professional statisticians informally think the degree of the probability distribution in a small group will closely resemble the probability distribution in the overall population.
In other words, even people who should know better make these mistakes. When they're not computing seriously in System 2 mode (reasoning), they rely on their intuitions for simple problems.
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"May the fourth be with you" plays on the phrase in Star Wars "may the Force be with you."
"May the fourth be with you" was popularized by Margaret Thatche...
The pun on "May the Force be with you" has been used a number of times over the years.
Once In 2008, a Facebook group celebrated "Luke Skywalker Day" and adopted the May the Fourth slogan. Since then, May 4 has been a regular fandom celebration. In 2013, Disney also joined in the celebration.
War games are a great way to learn about history and warfare.
The Prussians used war games in the 19th c. to prepare for conflicts. So did the WATU (the UK Western Approach...
War games are a great tool to sharpen intuitive decision making. Considering that they provide insight, learning, professional development, and entertainment, they can be applied in a very specialized way.
The civilian market offers a variety of computer and board war games that serve this purpose and is often better at simulating war than those designed by the military.
Computer-based and tabletop-based games fulfil a different purpose and can be complementary.
We get stuck in our emotions due to our spiralling mind, our fixation with old ideas and behaviours, our need to be always right, perfectionism and thinking in absolute terms.
...These are the three usual suspects, stuff we do to cope-up with our emotions: