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Jumping to conclusions

Jumping to conclusions

We are all prone to jump to conclusions.

The psychological term for jumping to conclusions is "inference-observation confusion", meaning people make an inference but fail to label it as such, which results in faulty conclusions.

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Good intentions

Jumping to conclusions often comes from our desire to sound compassionate and invested in what someone is telling us.

We may comment by saying "wow", or "what a shame" when we really have no idea how the person wants us to feel. Instead of sounding supportive, we may c...

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Types of inference-observation confusion

  • Mind reading. By watching the behaviour and nonverbal communication, we assume we know how someone feels, even when there are other potential explanations.
  • Fortune telling. We predict an outcome without having enough evidence. For example, we don't...

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Educated guesswork

It is impractical not to draw any conclusions. A middle ground between jumping to conclusions and not drawing any conclusion is to hold our thoughts in mind while leaving enough room to explore other alternatives.

Instead of mind reading by saying "I know exactly what ...

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danss

Watch your habits, they become character and watch your character, it becomes your destiny.

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Jumping to Conclusions.

Jumping to Conclusions.

Jumping to Conclusions. You jump to conclusions that aren’t warranted by the facts. There are two common versions of this distortion.

Jumping to Conclusions

A good analogy serves as an intellectual springboard that helps us jump to conclusions. It is efficient if the findings are likely to be correct, and can save time and effort.

However, if the analogy is misleading, we are likely not to notice. Assumptions reinforce our preconceptions and pr...

Jumping into Conclusions: Examples

Jumping into Conclusions: Examples

  • Inference-observation confusion: An assumption made that may or may not be correct. Example: Concluding that a guy is rich, based on the car he drives.
  • Fortune-Telling: Assumption of knowing exactly what will happen in the future.
  • Mind Reading:...

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