2. Survivorship Bias - Deepstash
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2. Survivorship Bias

2. Survivorship Bias

After reading Gates’ and Musk’s life stories, people seem to fall for the successful dropout myth , because if they can do it, why can’t you?

These stories might expose a fallacy in judgement because in reality, for one success story there are tens of thousands of stories of failure that may not be focused on because of a survivorship bias.

Focusing on only success stories results in “Survivorship Bias”.

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4. Curse of Knowledge

4. Curse of Knowledge

The curse of knowledge is a cognitive bias, which occurs when people fail to consider that others don’t have the same background knowledge or information as they do.

Someone knowledgeable in a particular field might find it difficult to put themselves into a beginner’s shoes (or someone who...

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171 reads

5. Recognition over Recall

5. Recognition over Recall

Have you felt that whenever you’re trying to remember someone you met in the past, you find it difficult to recall them from memory but recognise them easily through looking at their pictures?

These scenarios exemplify Recognition over Recall. It’s easier f...

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129 reads

1. Anchoring Bias

1. Anchoring Bias

Let’s say you go to buy a watch, and the first one you like costs $150, which exceeds your budget, soon after you see a watch that costs $125, this new price seems reasonable now, even though this too might exceed your budget, however, as compare...

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233 reads

3. Decoy Effect

3. Decoy Effect

The decoy effect occurs when a person’s choice between 2 items changes when a third option, asymmetrically dominated, is introduced.

This third option is made easy to discard.

The decoy option is added to nudge the customers towards the intended target option...

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heisenberg

Digital marketing at dentsu. Invested in the symbiosis of marketing, psychology, and design. Photographer at heart.

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Survivorship Bias

Survivorship Bias

Survivorship bias is a logical error that twists our understanding of the world and leads to a wrong understanding of cause and effect.

We fall into survivorship bias when we assume that success stories tell the entire story of a product/business, while we don't properly consider past fail...

Survivorship Bias

We tend to overestimate the chances of success because success stories are more likely to be reported, while failure stories do not.

"Behind every popular author you can find a hundred other writers whose books never sell."

How to elude the survivorship bias?

  • Do the digg...

Survivorship Bias

It's our tendency to concentrate on the people who end up winning  —the survivors—and mistakenly assume that ambitious goals led to their success while removing from pur view all of the people who had the same objective but didn’t succeed.

When you solely focus on success, survivorsh...

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