The Unwinding of the Long Term Debt Cycle | Lyn Alden - Deepstash
The Unwinding of the Long Term Debt Cycle | Lyn Alden

The Unwinding of the Long Term Debt Cycle | Lyn Alden

Curated from: Blockworks Macro

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The end game for the US dollar

The end game for the US dollar

After the Breton Woods agreement, all the world currencies were pegged to the dollar, which was in torn pegged on gold. But in 1974 the US dropped the gold backing and $ became free-floating. The US maintained their currency supremacy by making sure all the Middle East oil producers would only trade in $ & get the US military protection in return.

In 2021 however, China is the major oil importer and that puts a lot of pressure on countries like Saudi Arabia. Russia, a major oil producer, started trading in euros and yuan. Once the oil monopoly evaporates the US dollar is toast.

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Lyn Alden prediction for financial repression

Lyn Alden prediction for financial repression

The US has too much debt, and 0% interest rates. The situation looks similar with US in the 40s and 70s. In the 70s the US raised rates, in the 40s they let inflation eat all savings.

Lyn Alden, a famous macro-economist, believes the current situation is more like the 40s. The US can not increase the rates, so most likely it will let inflation reign and get money from the rich, a form of financial repression.

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IDEAS CURATED BY

vladimir

Life-long learner. Passionate about leadership, entrepreneurship, philosophy, Buddhism & SF. Founder @deepstash.

CURATOR'S NOTE

It is possible the US hegemony is coming to an end. Lyn focuses on the changes in the energy markets to make a case for the US downfall and a long period of inflation.

Vladimir Oane's ideas are part of this journey:

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