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2022 is a year of inflation. It resulted from the huge disruption that Covid caused. The high inflation and low economic growth are all over the media.
Investment ads claim they have investment strategies to generate significant returns during inflation, yet famous hedge funds like Tiger Global are down 60%. So don't be seduced by investment ads that try to profit from fear and greed.
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When we're faced with economic problems, we can view them in two ways:
Taking a step back for a broader view can teach us about what's happening now.
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Periods of high growth and low growth are not uncommon. For example, look at how the world went from the great 1920s to the Great Depression in the 1930s.
Investor Howard Marks discusses the concept of cycles in his book, Mastering The Market Cycle. He states that the economy grows, on average, at a consistent pace. The economy will get stimulated and make people take more risks and consume more. In turn, this period often causes inflation and slows things down.
Recessions and slowdowns are normal. However, when you invest long-term, these fluctuations won’t harm you.
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Avoid taking too much risk when the economy is booming. Likewise, avoid buying into things you don't understand.
Things only become troublesome when you make bad investment decisions during periods of high growth. For example:
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When you recognise economic patterns, you'll know that the current trends are expected and normal.
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