How close are we to creating artificial intelligence?
Curated from: aeon.co
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AGI & Universality of Computation
AGI (artificial General Intelligence) must be possible because of Universality of Computation. This entails that everything that the laws of physics require a physical object to do can, in principle, be emulated in arbitrarily fine detail by some program on a general-purpose computer, provided it is given enough time and memory.
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Creativity is the missing element for AGI
The difference between a human brain and an algorithm is the former has creativity: the ability to produce new explanations. The algorithms we use all have an explanation embedded in them. To reach the point of AGI we need a theory that explains how brains create explanatory knowledge. Such a theory is beyond present-day knowledge.
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How we create Knowledge
The prevailing misconception about knowledge is that by assuming that ‘the future will be like the past’, we can ‘derive’ (or ‘extrapolate’ or ‘generalise’) theories from repeated experiences by an alleged process called ‘induction’. Karl Popper explained that the explanation always comes before the observation of a pattern.
Knowledge consists of conjectured explanations — guesses about what really is (or really should be, or might be) out there in all those worlds.
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Most seem to operate on the belief that AGI is merely an emergent property of complexity, or that increased computer power will bring it forth.
Expecting to create an AGI without first understanding in detail how the brain works is like expecting skyscrapers to learn to fly if we build them tall enough.
DAVID DEUTSCH
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AGIs and Rights
When we get to AGIs we will have to think of them not as algorithms but as a form of people. To poses general intelligence, AGIs need to be creative, to be creative they need to be disobedient, to be disobedient they need to be free.
The whole problem of developing AGIs is a matter of philosophy, not computer science or neurophysiology, and that the philosophical progress that is essential to their future integration is also a prerequisite for developing them in the first place.
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IDEAS CURATED BY
Life-long learner. Passionate about leadership, entrepreneurship, philosophy, Buddhism & SF. Founder @deepstash.
CURATOR'S NOTE
David Deutsch theories of knowledge makes some very interesting assertions about the probability of AGIs. Inevitable but not around the corner.
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