The projection bias
It occurs when we are in a “hot” state of mind and incorrectly assume that our current needs will be the same as our future needs. As a result, we tend to make decisions based on how we feel right now instead of how we might feel in the future.
Another way to think about it is that we tend to make decisions that make sense in the moment, but they don’t always work out the way we anticipated.
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How to avoid the projection bias
- Check your emotional temperature. When you have to make decisions in this state, take a moment to check your temperature before doing so. How are you feeling right this second? Do you think you are in a “hot” state of mind?
- Cool off. If you think yo...
Why we can’t accurately predict our needs
- Projection bias can occur because we don’t realize how much exogenous factors — things that happen outside of our control — can influence our decision-making.
- Overestimating impact. When we are faced with significant life events, lik...
What causes the egocentric bias
It occurs primarily due to the fact that we tend to naturally examine and remember events primarily through our personal point of view.
Even when we realize that we should adjust our perspective to see things through other people’s eyes, we tend to anchor this new perspective to our ...
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